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Wednesday, 17 September 2008 |
Rick Pendergraft
With all the deal brokering the Fed is managing right now, they seem more like a real estate agent than a quasi-government entity. The Fed is supposed to help manage the economy, but they keep applying band-aids to the problem. Encouraging one troubled financial institution to sell to another troubled financial institution is not a long-term solution. |
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Wednesday, 17 September 2008 |
Russell McDougal
You know by now I write a lot about the US dollar and its ongoing abuse.
On a longer-term chart, you would see the dollar had never fallen under the 80 level until one year ago. It fell to the 71 range earlier this year but has since climbed back (briefly) above 80. Is this just a “bounce” or a correction in a long-term bear market? Has something fundamental changed about the dollar? |
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Tuesday, 16 September 2008 |
By Andrew Gordon
The dollar has jumped 10 percent since early July. It’s still at historical lows, but now that it’s broken through its long-term trend, it could very well go up further. There’s lots of ways to trade a strengthening dollar. One of the ways is to bet against the companies hurt by a dollar increasing in value. |
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Tuesday, 16 September 2008 |
By Andrew Gordon
The stimulus package has come and gone. And retail sales are once again feeling the pinch. So, should the government put together a second package for exhausted consumers? After all, if the government can afford to throw $300 billion at Freddie and Fannie, certainly the government can spend another $145 billion to boost spending going into the holidays, right? |
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Monday, 15 September 2008 |
By Christian Hill
The economic calendar gets off to a quick start this week with two important reports right off the bat at 9:15 this morning.
The August Capacity Utilization and Industrial Production reports are both expected to show declines of 0.30 percent versus July. If these reports come in as expected, it means that the manufacturing sector is still mired in a slump, and won’t be leading the turnaround anytime in the near term. |
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Monday, 15 September 2008 |
But The Seasons Are Still Predictable
By Rick Pendergraft
I remember as a kid, people in Indiana talking about the weather and how if you didn’t like it, there was no need to worry, it would change soon enough. Wall Street seems to be doing the same thing right now. If you don’t like the direction in the first few hours of the day, stick around it will change before the end of the week.
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Saturday, 13 September 2008 |
By Andy Carpenter
Some things leave a mark, some leave a welt and some leave a scar.
You can safely put the US Department of Interior’s Mineral Management Service into the “scar” category. |
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Friday, 12 September 2008 |
By Charles Delvalle
After this past weekend’s big bailout of Freddie and Fannie, investors are wondering if the big three are next. Sorry to tell you, but they’ve already been bailed out.
It happened without much fanfare last December, when Congress approved a $25 billion loan package for the big three (about $8.3 billion per automaker). |
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Friday, 12 September 2008 |
By Charles Delvalle
Remember when you were a little kid and being handed a dollar seemed like you had just hit the lottery? I’m reminded of it every time I give a dollar to my four-year old niece, Amanda. Her eyes
light up and she gets the biggest smile in the world. Then she looks at me, hugs me and says, “I love you, Charlie!” |
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Friday, 12 September 2008 |
Charles Delvalle
So far, September has been one hell of a month.
Finally, the market realizes that there won’t be a second half recovery. On top of that, the dollar has rallied to the stars, China is coming unglued, and the money supply is shrinking. Talk about a full 180 from what was happening last year.
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Friday, 12 September 2008 |
Before I respond to some of your excellent feedback, I have to ask: WAS THAT IT? Is all we get from the colossal government bailout of Freddie and Fannie a one-day bounce?
I doubt that this was what Hank Paulson had in mind. I suspect he was hoping for a 1-2 month bounce. But Lehman jolted Wall Street back to the grim reality facing the financial sector before the party even got going. |
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Thursday, 11 September 2008 |
By Lynn Carpenter
As a value investor, the very first thing I learned was to compare the stock price to its earnings per share. That’s the famous P/E ratio we value investors love to use.
Like everyone, I learned that the historical P/E ratio for U.S. stocks was 15. Stocks over that were overvalued, below that were undervalued. |
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