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ISM Services, Productivity, and Consumer Credit Highlight
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Monday, 05 November 2007
By Rick Pendergraft
After last week’s incredibly busy schedule of reports, this week should be a little calmer.  But it is still filled with important reports.  The first one will come out at 10:00 this morning in the form of the Institute for Supply Management’s Services Index.
September’s 54.8 reading was down one percent from the August reading, and the index has been trending lower since the spring.  Anything above 50 is considered an expansion in the non-manufacturing sector of the economy.  Anything below 50 means it is contracting.

The third-quarter productivity report is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, and is expected to increase by 2.5 percent.  This is slightly lower than the 2.6-percent increase we saw in the second quarter.

The September Consumer Credit report will also be released on Wednesday.  It is expected to decline significantly.  The $12.2 billion reported in August was the last report before concerns about the credit crunch really hit the market hard.  The expectation of $8.0 billion in September reflects the tighter credit market.

Date

Time (ET)

Statistic

For

Market Expects

Prior

5-Nov

10:00 AM

ISM Services

Oct

54

54.8

7-Nov

8:30 AM

Productivity-Prel

Q3

2.50%

2.60%

7-Nov

10:00 AM

Wholesale Inventories

Sep

0.10%

0.10%

7-Nov

3:00 PM

Consumer Credit

Sep

$8.0B

$12.2B

9-Nov

8:30 AM

Export Prices ex-ag.

Oct

NA

0.00%

9-Nov

8:30 AM

Import Prices ex-oil

Oct

NA

-0.20%

9-Nov

8:30 AM

Trade Balance

Sep

-$58.0B

-$57.6B

9-Nov

10:00 AM

Mich Sentiment-Prel.

Nov

81

80.9

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