Investing Ideas
Is the Loonie Ready to Rumble… or Tumble |
$130 Oil Signals Doom for the Transports It seems like the most intuitive of trading theorems: Shippers use fuel to move goods and people around the world, so when oil skyrockets, the cost of shipping shoots up, too. |
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| Is the Loonie Ready to Rumble… or Tumble |
| Thursday, 10 January 2008 | ||||||||
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But Canada is also one of the U.S.’ biggest trading partners, and as such is not necessarily immune to the financial diseases afflicting our banks, economy and markets. As the contagion spreads across our northern border, you can expect the loonie to continue to peel away much, if all, of its 2007 gains. Canadian Dollar Trust When we look at chart for the Rydex CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC), we see an obvious top in early November at $113.02. But the true sell signal -- a move below the 11-week moving average accompanied by a reversal in the Money Flow Oscillator -- only hit last week. While a complete breakdown to 2006 levels is possible (but not yet highly probable), you can expect this ETF to drop as low as $94.52 over the next six to eight weeks, with an extension to $92.14 quite possible. My recommendation: Purchase FXC March 100 Puts (FXC OV), currently available for $270 with a delta of 0.52. Should the FXC drop to $94.52, you would be looking at gains of 90%. A drop to FXC$83.11 would push those gains to 310%. Adam Lass Market Analyst, WaveStrength Options Weekly Source : Taipan Chart of the Day This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
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