Investing Ideas
Actrade – My successful investment | Major money center banks Citigroup, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Wachovia are set to report; and with significant exposure to bad loans and profit warnings already issued, investors are unlikely to be surprised by poor results. | |
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| Actrade – My successful investment |
| Written by John Bendan | ||||||||||
| Sunday, 13 April 2008 | ||||||||||
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The main thing is to know how to spot buying opportunities. The right time to buy is in fact after a crash at a time when the stock is dropping far below it real value. Actrade Financial Technologies Ltd. is one of my successful investments. The company, which was founded by Amos Aharoni in 1987, specialized in the development of advanced e-commerce and payment solutions. The relationship between risk and probability is the name of the game for investment houses. The higher the exposure to risk the higher the yield generated from potential investments. In the speculative stock market the wheel turns, the market value of a public company jumps or falls at times in reaction to drastic changes. The main thing is to know how to spot buying opportunities. The right time to buy is in fact after a crash at a time when everyone is “rushing out” and the stock is dropping far below it real value. Actrade Financial Technologies Ltd., which today is being managed by a liquidation trust, is one of my successful investments. The company founded by Amos Aharoni in 1987, which specialized in the development of advanced e-commerce and payment solutions for business-to-business transactions in 1990s, was at the time considered a pioneer in its field by leading business magazines. From my point of view, this situation represented a buying opportunity with a particularly high potential for profit. Although as a result of the crisis in the company all business activity was stopped, economic analysis of the company for the purpose of investment showed that Actrade at the time still owned assets worth about $35 million generated from profits and own capital without any debt commitments to external parties.
In addition, the company was in the ownership of 10 million shares. Simple calculation showed that the potential value of each share was $3 ten times the market value of its last quote at the time (30 cents). In retrospective my investment promised excellent potential but a number of risks remained. Here are a number of facts: • Despite the rumors, investigations and law suits filed against the company and its previous managers for improper business activities, no wrong doing was found. The class action suit was settled at a relatively low amount and the actions filed against former managers were dismissed. Conclusion: My estimate is that within a year all legal issues will be resolved and settled. Although we don’t know what the court will decide estimates are that at the end of this saga about $20 million in company assets will be retained. In this case, the trust is expected to divide up the remaining cash cushion among the shareholders - that is $20 million among about 8 million shareholders at $2.5 per share. Taking into account that the shares were originally bought at a price of 30 cents, I can expect to make a yield of 800% - a brilliant investment. About Actrade:Actrade Financial Technologies Ltd. was founded in 1987 by Israeli business man Amos Aharoni. In the first years of activity, Actrade started off as an exporter of American industrial equipment but during the years changed itself to a financing company for business to business transactions of American and international trade. Business model analysis: The business was directed to serve two main markets: • The US market – Large multiplicator of small deals through the development of the E-TAD Program and e-financial solutions widening the pool of clients through the internet. Analysis of the company’s revenues shows that the main engine of revenue growth, about 80% of total revenues, emerged from international business activities, which was developed by Amos Aharoni. US activity managed by the US team and dependent on the internet buzz did not meet targets generating only 20% of total revenues. Analysis of main points leading to breakdown of the public company: It seems that the first signs surfaced already at the end of 2000 when Amos Aharoni stepped down as CEO of Actrade transferring managerial responsibilities to the US management team. The year 2000 was the company’s peak year with a market value of about $400 million as annual revenues surpassed the $100 million line and net profit was more then $20 million. At the time investment banks’ expectations were supportive of continued growth at the company.
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