Stock Ideas 
Market Watch The Coming Fall in Crude Oil
Market Watch The Coming Fall in Crude Oil 
Market Watch
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By Rick Pendergraft Dear Reader, As far back as Labor Day, I have been warning that it was going to be a tough year for the retailers. Now we are seeing it play out to its fullest. The warnings signs were simple - a tightening credit market, a slumping housing market, and a negative savings rate in this country. |
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| The Coming Fall in Crude Oil |
| Tuesday, 17 July 2007 | ||||||||
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The International Energy Association reports worldwide demand for crude oil will to accelerate in 2008. The news comes on top of its claim that an oil "supply crunch" is around the corner. In other words, the news simply couldn't be more bullish. While the agency's report paints a rosy long-term picture for crude oil, bullish news like this usually accompanies a short-term top in a given asset. Coupled with enormous bullish bets held by hedge funds right now, a contrarian has to expect an oil correction around the corner. Last month, we described the new economics of oil… how $50 a barrel is the "new cheap." It's the price at which oil consumers step in and buy with both hands. Conversely, the market considers $75 oil to be "expensive," and the market receives huge selling pressure. Expect that pressure to arrive soon.
As oil investors, we couldn't care less. Even if oil declines 20% from its current level, integrated oil producers are awash in money. Source DailyWealth.com
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