Investing Ideas
Money Making Alert By Doug Fabian |
By Tom Dayson A friend is looking for work in London's financial industry…"My timing is bad," he told me on the phone. "Most of the big banks have hiring freezes at the moment, so I haven't had much luck. A strange thing happened last month though..." |
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| Money Making Alert By Doug Fabian |
| Thursday, 02 August 2007 | ||||||||
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Simply put, stocks are not the place you want your hard-earned investment capital right now. In fact, I've been advising subscribers to my Successful Investing advisory service that they should be near 90% cash for some time now. The result of that high cash position meant we sustained no damage to our model portfolio last week. Instead, we watched placidly from the sidelines while panic sellers reached for the Advil, the Johnny Walker and a nice warm blanket. Based on the shear technical picture of this market, I do think we may get a little bit of a snapback rally this week along the lines of what we saw on Monday. But as you can see by the chart of the Total Market VIPERs (VTI) below, the overall market is now trading well below its short-term 50-day moving average (blue line) and just a tad above the long-term 200-day moving average (red line). This is a bad prognosis for the continued strength of this bull market, and reason enough to be ultra-cautious right now. My recommendation is to use any rally here as an opportunity to unload equities, particularly if your portfolio still is heavily exposed to stocks. And, if you are allocated to any stocks in the financial sector, then you absolutely must get yourself out of this collapsing market segment. The silver lining to this cloud of widespread selling is that we now are set up for a big buying opportunity once this market turmoil subsides. The time for buying equities may not come for a few more months, but I suspect that by October subscribers to my advisory services will have a healthy exposure to the market -- a market that is much less likely to experience another big correction in the near future. Want to learn how subscribers to my Successful Investing advisory service were able to sidestep the latest market malaise? And, do you want to find out when it will be safe to get back into the equity waters? A REAL ESTATE BEAR As much as people wish it wasn't so, we have to acknowledge that we now have entered a bear market in real estate. Why are we in a bear market in real estate? Well, foreclosures will reach an all-time high this year, and the speculation is that the total number will be greatly exceeded next year. Also, home builders are dumping inventory by slashing prices. Both of these events are putting more supply on the market. This added supply comes in the face of an already existing excess inventory of unsold homes. Economics 101 tells us that this combination of factors means home prices soon will be getting a lot lower. I expect home prices to fall 10-15% nationwide, and 30-40% in some of the hottest speculative markets. I suspect that most of you will not be moving in the next few years, and you may be asking yourself what difference it makes if home prices fall. Well, it makes a big difference in many ways. This bear market in housing likely will have a very negative effect on the economy, on lending standards, and on stock prices. These sectors have been beaten down as a result of the new bear market in real estate. Of course they've also had a little help from the subprime mortgage mess and some very high-profile companies announcing that they may not make it out of this downturn alive. But the real estate bear also could affect you personally, especially if you don't have a fixed rate mortgage in place on your properties. You see, the entire lending landscape may be completely different six-to-12 months from now. One piece of very important advice that I can give you is that you absolutely MUST have fixed financing in place on any property you own. If you have some type of loan that is adjustable, or that soon is approaching a reset point, now is the time to fix this potentially disastrous problem. I recommend that anyone in this situation call my real estate and mortgage expert Josh Lewis to get a free mortgage assessment. To contact Josh, call him at 714.661-5976. Remember, wishing doesn't make things so, despite our deepest child-like desires. Take action and get yourself sheltered from the real estate bear. INTERESTED IN 8-12% YIELDS? The big sell off in the stock market has created a lot of opportunities for income investors. I can't get into all of the details here in the Alert, but I do have a complete presentation for you that I call, Creating Passive Income. It's my latest live workshop, and it now is available online. All you have to do is go here for all of the details on how you can download one of the most important seminars to your wealth that you will ever see. You will discover: * How much passive income you really need ETF NEWS: READY FOR THE NUCLEAR OPTION? |
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