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The Investment Alternative to China
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Tuesday, 18 September 2007
At first glance, Taiwan’s stock market, represented below by iShares Taiwan ETF (EWT), is doing okay – going up 60 percent in the last couple of years.
But many other overseas markets with half the transparency and a quarter of the rigorous Taiwanese accounting rules have done two or three times better.What gives?  Is it Taiwan’s pedestrian economic growth of four to five percent per year?

So what that countries such as Bangladesh and Cambodia average one or two percentage points higher than Taiwan’s economic growth.  To me, it’s no contest.  Give me the strong high-tech sectors of Taiwan and its reasonably valued companies over these two needy countries.

So is it that Taiwan is in China’s cross hairs?  Do you really think that the day after the Beijing Olympics closing ceremonies, China is going to give up all that hard-earned goodwill to invade Taiwan?  I don’t buy this scenario for a second.
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Sure, the Olympics will strengthen China diplomatically, but any “reconciliation” isn’t going to happen overnight.  Hong Kong and Macao show that China’s diplomacy is as deliberate as it is stubborn.
Before Taiwan is swallowed up by China, it will enjoy many more years of prosperity.  At the moment, its market has found support for a new uptrend at its 20-week moving average.  And unlike some other overseas markets, the Taiwan market isn’t overpriced.

By Andrew Gordon
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